Debt Sustainability Assessment of Regional Budgets

نویسندگان

چکیده

The aim of the paper is to assess debt sustainability budget system regions Northwestern Federal District (NWFD) Russia and establish differentiated values constraints. author uses methods comparison grouping, correlation cluster analysis. author’s methodology based on multivariate statistical analysis made it possible include indicators that have nature leading in assessment, evaluate integral indicator sustainability, determine limit these indicators. Approbation for assessing statistics NWFD allowed dividing into three clusters according types determining threshold each cluster. research results substantiate need reduce high burden 70% regions. indicate with a level St. Petersburg, Leningrad Kaliningrad greater than one are well grouped six group homogeneous terms characteristics. Republic Komi, Karelia, Arkhangelsk Pskov low sustainability: standard limiting “debt-to-GRP ratio” less 5%, “debt-to-revenue — 42%, value all exceeds centroids. For regions, recommends pursuing targeted policy mandatory reduction this concludes necessary most NWFD, as constraint public debt, taking account socio-economic development

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Finansy: teoriâ i praktika

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2587-5671', '2587-7089']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2022-26-3-110-128